Question

This thinker’s work is used to refute David Hume’s view of miracles in John Earman’s book Hume’s Abject Failure. To critique this thinker, Clark Glymour introduced the “problem of old evidence.” Frank Ramsey and Bruno de Finetti both used Dutch book arguments to show that proponents of this thinker’s system must have a coherent set of beliefs. I. J. Good used this thinker’s work in his solution to the raven paradox, arguing that the observation of a white (10[1])shoe only slightly alters this school’s namesake “factor.” Proponents of this thinker’s system hold degrees (10[1])of belief called “credences” (10[1])and use the principle of conditionalization to update their priors to posteriors. (10[1])For 10 points, (10[1])a school of probability contrasted with frequentism is named for what 18th-century statistician? ■END■

ANSWER: Thomas Bayes [accept Bayesian school]
<Philosophy>
= Average correct buzz position

Back to tossups

Buzzes

PlayerTeamOpponentBuzz PositionValue
Jerry VinokurovJohn JayColumbia B7710
Forrest Weintraub (UG)Columbia AColumbia C9210
David BassJohns HopkinsNYU B9610
Halle FriedmanNYU AVassar10810
Arjun Bothra (UG)HaverfordRowan11110

Summary

2024 ACF Regionals @ Cornell01/27/2024Y1100%0%0%102.00
2024 ACF Regionals @ JMU01/27/2024Y978%0%11%95.00
2024 ACF Regionals @ Minnesota01/27/2024Y2100%0%0%80.50
2024 ACF Regionals @ Nebraska01/27/2024Y6100%0%0%118.67
2024 ACF Regionals @ Rutgers01/27/2024Y5100%0%0%96.80
2024 ACF Regionals @ Vanderbilt01/27/2024Y4100%0%25%112.50