Question

This thinker’s work is used to refute David Hume’s view of miracles in John Earman’s book Hume’s Abject Failure. To critique this thinker, Clark Glymour introduced the “problem of old evidence.” (10[1])Frank Ramsey and Bruno de Finetti both used Dutch book arguments to show that proponents of this thinker’s system (10[1])must have a coherent set of beliefs. (-5[1])I. J. Good used this thinker’s work in his solution to the raven paradox, arguing that the observation of a white shoe only slightly alters this school’s namesake “factor.” Proponents of this thinker’s system hold degrees of belief called “credences” and use the principle of conditionalization to update their priors to posteriors. (10[2])For 10 points, a school of probability contrasted with frequentism is named (10[1])for what 18th-century statistician? ■END■ (10[2]0[2])

ANSWER: Thomas Bayes [accept Bayesian school]
<Philosophy>
= Average correct buzz position

Back to tossups

Buzzes

PlayerTeamOpponentBuzz PositionValue
Caleb Kendrick (Grad)Maryland A (Grad)UNC D (DII)3010
Jonathan Shauf (UG)UNC B (UG)Maryland C (DII)4910
Joseph Chambers (DII)Virginia A (UG)Roanoke College A (DII)56-5
Benjamin McAvoy-Bickford (DII)UNC A (Grad)GWU B (Grad)10810
Luke Schaarschuch (UG)Virginia C (UG)UNC C (UG)10810
Brian Lai (DII)Virginia B (UG)JMU B (UG)12010
Kathryn Purdy (Grad)Liberty A (Grad)GWU A (UG)1250
Ethan Cohen (UG)GWU A (UG)Liberty A (Grad)1250
Duncan Griffiths (UG)William & Mary A (UG)Liberty B (DII)12510
Munir Siddiqui (UG)Maryland B (UG)JMU A (UG)12510

Summary

2024 ACF Regionals @ Cornell01/27/2024Y1100%0%0%102.00
2024 ACF Regionals @ JMU01/27/2024Y978%0%11%95.00
2024 ACF Regionals @ Minnesota01/27/2024Y2100%0%0%80.50
2024 ACF Regionals @ Nebraska01/27/2024Y6100%0%0%118.67
2024 ACF Regionals @ Rutgers01/27/2024Y5100%0%0%96.80
2024 ACF Regionals @ Vanderbilt01/27/2024Y4100%0%25%112.50