cliodynamics - 2024 ESPN @ Duke

Question

The founder of this discipline argues that societal upheaval corresponds to periods of “elite overproduction,” when there are a large number of elites competing for a limited number of jobs. For 10 points each:

[10h] Name this discipline established by the biologist-turned-historian Peter Turchin, which examines history through complex mathematical models. This discipline built upon Jack Goldstone’s structural-demographic theory.

ANSWER: cliodynamics

[10e] Goldstone found that revolutions in Europe and Asia were preceded by massive increases in this variable. Paul and Anna Ehrlich’s 1968 book titled for this variable’s “bomb” sparked a worldwide panic.

ANSWER: population [accept The Population Bomb]

[10m] Turchin’s essay “Towards Cliodynamics” refutes this thinker’s book The Poverty of Historicism, which argues against sweeping scientific models of history and supports smaller theories instead.

ANSWER: Karl Popper [or Sir Karl Raimund Popper]

<Parameswaran, Other History>

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Summary


2024 ESPN @ Brown	04/06/2024	Y	2	10.00	100%	0%	0%
2024 ESPN @ Cambridge	04/06/2024	Y	2	15.00	100%	0%	50%
2024 ESPN @ Chicago	03/23/2024	Y	6	20.00	100%	67%	33%
2024 ESPN @ Columbia	03/23/2024	Y	7	15.71	100%	29%	29%
2024 ESPN @ Duke	03/23/2024	Y	2	10.00	100%	0%	0%
2024 ESPN @ Online	06/01/2024	Y	3	16.67	100%	67%	0%
Northern California	Main	N	4	17.50	100%	50%	25%
Southern California	Main	N	7	17.14	100%	71%	0%
Eastern Canada (1)	Main	N	5	14.00	100%	40%	0%
Eastern Canada (2)	Main	N	9	14.44	100%	33%	11%
Florida	Main	N	4	12.50	100%	25%	0%
Great Lakes	Main	N	11	15.45	100%	46%	9%
Lower Mid-Atlantic	Main	N	9	12.22	100%	22%	0%
Upper Mid-Atlantic	Main	N	1	10.00	100%	0%	0%
Upper Mid-Atlantic	Main	N	9	12.22	100%	22%	0%
Upper Mid-Atlantic	Main	N	2	10.00	100%	0%	0%
Midwest	Main	N	9	14.44	100%	33%	11%
North	Main	N	4	17.50	100%	75%	0%
Northeast	Main	N	1	20.00	100%	100%	0%
Pacific	Main	N	8	17.50	100%	63%	13%
South Central	Main	N	6	13.33	100%	33%	0%
Southeast	Main	N	12	19.17	100%	67%	25%
UK (North)	UK	N	4	20.00	75%	100%	25%
UK (South)	UK	N	8	15.00	100%	50%	0%
Upstate NY	Main	N	5	12.00	100%	20%	0%

Data


UNC A	Duke	0	10	0	10
UNC Hunny	UNC B	0	10	0	10